Are we ready for the expected USA Presidential Election 2024 results? If so, on what basis? Can we speculate the winning president for the next 4 years?

The United States of America Presidential Election 2024 is knocking at the door. There is not enough time for it. When I write this article, it almost 04th November'2024. So, I feel I should share my analysis to you from my perception. Though it's explicitly my own observation, but it may help you to select your right candidates for USA and upcoming terms.

USA Presidential Election 2024

Democrat vs Republic- who are more acceptable in 2024

The political landscape in the United States leading up to the 2024 election is complex, with both the Democratic and Republican parties facing unique challenges and opportunities. As we analyze which party may be more acceptable to voters in 2024, several key factors come into play: the parties’ platforms, the candidates, voter demographics, and prevailing social and economic issues.

Polling data, voter turnout, and key events leading up to the election will also play significant roles. Issues like healthcare, the economy, climate change, and social justice could influence voter preferences. It’s essential to consider the context and developments as the election approaches to gauge which party might be viewed as more acceptable by the electorate.

USA Current Political Climate

As of late 2023, the political climate in the U.S. is characterized by heightened polarization. Issues such as:

· abortion rights,
· gun control,
· immigration,
· climate change, and
· economic inequality; dominate discussions.

Each party has carved out distinct positions on these topics, appealing to different segments of the electorate.

The Democratic Party, traditionally seen as the party of progressivism, has focused on social justice, climate action, and expanding healthcare access.

Conversely, the Republican Party emphasizes limited government, tax cuts, and a strong stance on immigration and crime. Both parties are seeking to energize their bases while also attempting to attract swing voters.

Key Issues at in action:

In 2024, several pivotal issues will likely influence voter preferences:

Comparison criteria that are the factors

Candidate Dynamics

The candidates nominated by each party will significantly impact acceptability. In the Democratic primary, President Joe Biden’s incumbency offers advantages, but concerns about his age and approval ratings could create openings for challengers. The Democratic primary may see debates over the direction of the party, with progressive candidates advocating for bold reforms. Kamala Harris, the candidate from the Democratic party will actually reflect the moto of her the democrat members.

On the Contrary, if we discuss for Republican side specially for the previous term (2016-2020) President Donald Trump; it can be said that he remains a dominant figure for this party. His appeal to a large base is undeniable, but his controversial tenure may alienate moderate Republicans and independent voters. If Trump secures the nomination, it could solidify the party’s base but also create challenges in appealing to a broader electorate. Alternatively, if a more moderate candidate emerges, it could reshape the party’s image and potentially attract swing voters.

Voter Demographics

Demographics play a critical role in determining acceptability. The Democratic Party (Kamala Harris) has made significant inroads with young voters, women, and minority groups, particularly in urban areas. Republicans, meanwhile, continue to have strong support among rural voters, white working-class individuals, and older demographics.

In 2024, mobilizing voter turnout will be essential for both parties. Democrats must ensure that young and minority voters, who may be more enthusiastic about social issues, turn out in large numbers. Republicans, figured by Donald Trump; will need to maintain their base while appealing to suburban voters who may be swayed by issues like education and public safety.

Supporters' demographic play. Credit: www.azhighground.com

The Role of Independents

Independents often hold the key to electoral outcomes. Their preferences can shift based on the candidates and issues at play. In recent elections, independents have leaned towards Democrats on certain issues, such as healthcare and climate change, while supporting Republicans on economic and security concerns.

For 2024, both parties must find ways to appeal to these voters. Democrats may focus on coalition-building and emphasizing their achievements, while Republicans might aim to harness discontent with the status quo.

Swing voters are all times a factor for any election. In 2024, it may keep role also. According to data for progress, if we see their forecasted analysis we see the below comparison. (Though it is explicitly their own analysis, so no matter!).

Swing Voters' impact. Comparison credit: Data for Progress

Swing Voters can also impact in economic & social issues. Comparison Credit: Data for Progress

There are many issues that are not includere here but have also tremendous impact in 2024 election. I am not focus in my article which results the article larger. So, I take a break by offering you onle these two comparisons I described above. You can have a thorough look in the below link for more.

I should conclude saying that;

In the lead-up to the 2024 election, determining which party is more acceptable hinges on a multitude of factors, including the economy, key issues, candidates, and voter demographics. While Democrats may find favor among younger and urban voters, Republicans could maintain strong support in rural areas and among older demographics.

Ultimately, the acceptability of each party will be shaped by how effectively they can address voter concerns, mobilize their bases, and appeal to moderates and independents. As the political landscape continues to evolve, both parties will need to remain agile and responsive to the needs and sentiments of the electorate to secure a favorable outcome in 2024.